Marvel’s Wolverine: Alinea estimates $130 million in revenue in first three days

That estimate would translate to roughly 1.9 million copies sold for the PS5 exclusive from Insomniac Games and Sony.

In the same analysis, Alinea already places Wolverine sixth among the best-performing PS5 games of 2026, based on preliminary market data.

What happened

Kotaku wrote on September 18, 2026, that Marvel’s Wolverine, the PS5 game from Insomniac Games and Sony, appears to be performing strongly in its first three days after release. The publication bases this on estimates from market data firm Alinea Analytics. According to those estimates, three-day revenue is around $130 million, which Kotaku converts to roughly 1.9 million copies sold.

In the same analysis, Wolverine would already be ranked No. 6 among the best-performing PS5 games of 2026. These are not official sales figures from Sony or Insomniac, but an external estimate. The numbers are therefore provisional and may change once more market data becomes available or if Sony or Insomniac publishes its own figures.

Alinea also compares Wolverine with other recent PlayStation releases. Kotaku cites estimated three-day revenue of $51.7 million for Death Stranding 2 and $121.9 million for Ghost of Yōtei. That places Wolverine above both titles based on the revenue figures mentioned for the first three days.

The report is therefore not about an official sales update, but about a market estimate that Kotaku repeats and puts into context. The core takeaway is that, according to Alinea Analytics, Wolverine is already among the best-performing PS5 releases of 2026 in its very early phase, although that ranking remains dependent on later releases and additional sales data.

Background

The figures mentioned are estimates from Alinea Analytics, not official sales data from Sony or Insomniac. As a result, both the revenue and the number of copies sold remain provisional and could change if official figures are released later.

Alinea’s head of market research, Rhys Elliott, said on X that the online outrage around Wolverine is, in his view, amplified by algorithms and that the situation is less negative than social media suggests. That comment matters because Kotaku includes it as additional context for the market estimate, but it remains a personal interpretation from an analyst rather than verified sales confirmation.

The comparison with Death Stranding 2 and Ghost of Yōtei shows that Alinea is not looking at Wolverine in isolation, but alongside other recent PlayStation first-party releases. Kotaku specifically cites estimated three-day revenue of $51.7 million for Death Stranding 2 and $121.9 million for Ghost of Yōtei. Based on those figures, Wolverine would come out ahead of both games in the same early period.

Because this is an early snapshot, the claim that Wolverine already sits in sixth place among the best-performing PS5 games of 2026 is provisional. The position depends on how Alinea weighs future releases and later sales milestones. The $130 million figure is also an estimate derived from market data, not a number confirmed by Sony or Insomniac.

The report fits a broader pattern in which external analysts provide early sales and revenue indicators based on market information. In this case, Kotaku uses that analysis to report that Marvel’s Wolverine appears to be performing notably well in its first three days after release, without official figures having been released by the publisher or developer.

Sources

Kotaku bases the report on Alinea Analytics and also mentions a response from Rhys Elliott on X.